live-rpi.com - Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - - Blog



Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.

Mississippi Valley St.

Conference:SWAC
Expected RPI:330.0
Current RPI:330
Expected SOS:317
Current Record:8-27
Expected Record:8-27
Current Conf Record:8-13
Expected Conf Record:8-13
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-4
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:0-9
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:8-14
Current OOC Record:0-14
Expected OOC Record:0-14
Expected OOC RPI:334
Expected OOC SOS:121


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
8-2722.86%330.0100.00%

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Mississippi Valley St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-14Nebraska (165.0)B10A97-51L0%0.0
11-19Air Force (226.0)MWCA65-64L0%0.0
11-21New Mexico St. (111.0)WACA85-46L0%0.0
11-23Grand Canyon (91.0)WACA94-60L0%0.0
11-25BYU (76.0)WCCA75-68L0%0.0
11-28Robert Morris (291.0)NECN67-64L0%0.0
11-29Tennessee Tech (134.0)OVCA101-64L0%0.0
12-1Duquesne (162.0)A10A91-77L0%0.0
12-3North Carolina Central (310.0)MEACA86-79L0%0.0
12-6Seattle (287.0)WACA84-72L0%0.0
12-12Evansville (93.0)MVCA95-60L0%0.0
12-15Northwestern (115.0)B10A78-48L0%0.0
12-17North Texas (295.0)CUSAA87-74L0%0.0
12-29Hawaii (80.0)BWA77-48L0%0.0
1-4Arkansas Pine Bluff (311.0)SWACH66-60W100%0.0
1-9Alabama St. (265.0)SWACA75-74L0%0.0
1-11Alabama A&M (332.0)SWACA73-79W100%0.0
1-16Alcorn St. (253.0)SWACH87-93L0%0.0
1-18Southern (186.0)SWACH54-67L0%0.0
1-23Texas Southern (190.0)SWACA75-60L0%0.0
1-25Prairie View A&M (334.0)SWACA73-76W100%0.0
1-30Jackson St. (221.0)SWACH62-77L0%0.0
2-1Grambling St. (350.0)SWACH72-59W100%0.0
2-6Alabama St. (265.0)SWACH62-73L0%0.0
2-8Alabama A&M (332.0)SWACH66-64W100%0.0
2-13Alcorn St. (253.0)SWACA72-71L0%0.0
2-15Southern (186.0)SWACA97-64L0%0.0
2-20Texas Southern (190.0)SWACH67-98L0%0.0
2-22Prairie View A&M (334.0)SWACH61-63L0%0.0
2-27Jackson St. (221.0)SWACA60-49L0%0.0
2-29Grambling St. (350.0)SWACA57-58W100%0.0
3-5Arkansas Pine Bluff (311.0)SWACA78-71L0%0.0
3-8Grambling St. (350.0)SWACN87-73W100%0.0
3-9Alcorn St. (253.0)SWACN61-64W100%0.0
3-11Jackson St. (221.0)SWACN74-68L0%0.0